NCAA Preview – M800FR

A few people have called upset alert on this event and those people are really reaching. Kenyon won this event by 6 seconds last year and comes in just as fast as last season. Is that a 15 upsetting a 2? Maybe. Amherst, the potential upsetter (not sure that’s the word), comes in just as fast also. Can they find enough time to drop down as far as Kenyon will? That will depend on more than just their 2 stars. That will depend on their depth guys.

Seniority was not a predominate trait on the relays last year. Only 4 swimmers on the top 8 relays were swimmers. That’s 4 out of 32, which is quite low. Like the ladies, it hasn’t really led to faster incoming swims. Maybe it will pay off at nationals, but of the invited swims to the meet his year, this one may rank as the slowest.

The surprise team here is Johns Hopkins. They placed just 11th last year and graduated 2 seniors. Despite what would trouble most teams, they came through with a 6:43 already, which makes them good enough for the 3rd seed in lane 3. Another surprise is Stevens. This team went from a nobody of D3 swimming to a powerhouse. This is their best relay and they put up their sub 6:50 at midseason. This is one of only 3 invited relays to post their time at midseason so it’s not something to scoff at.

Sleeper: Denison. If you think Denison isn’t a threat for the top 2, please reconsider. Their 2 freshmen are stars and can drop time. Add to this Dan Thurston and you have a group primed for improvement. Last year their drop was only 2 seconds, but I see more this year. Look for them to be around 6:40 and if Amherst isn’t running on all 4 cylinders, they could give them a run.

Winner: Kenyon. No record.Different group, same story.

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