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January 19, 2008 at 4:28 am #12982Sir CarlMember
It seems that Chapel Partner is the only one who cares about this, but I was wondering what everyone’s picks are for 3rd through 5th at conference this year.
For a point of comparison at this time of the season, I scored out a mock invite with Carleton, SJU, and UST using the times swam this weekend. I didn’t score any freestyle relays since different relays were swum, but i didn’t exhibition anyone either (like the 12 SJU swimmers in the 100). For the mile I gave UST first and second and Carleton 3rd through 5th based on their 1000 performances. I also scored the 400 IM, though it wasn’t an event at the St. Mary’s invite.
The team results were:
Carleton – 748
SJU – 713
UST – 652
Obviously this invite format isn’t the best prediction of the conference meet, but it looks like a close meet.
January 19, 2008 at 6:56 am #43343Rustie GustieMember
My picks, albeit without scores, would be slightly different from yours:
Carleton takes 3rd, UST 4th, and SJU 5th.
January 20, 2008 at 1:13 am #43344Chapel PartnerMember
Nice research Sir C.
I was trying to score the meet earlier, but haven’t finished.
It will come down to a lot of boner heat swims I think. UST and SJU both have a lot of guys in that 7th-16th range.
January 22, 2008 at 3:47 pm #43345Mac of the MIACMember
January 22, 2008 at 4:08 pm #43346Chapel PartnerMember
I agree with Mac’s ranking.
In a quick scoring, without diving. I think Carleton, SJU, and UST are all in that 325-375 point range. Again, it will depend on the boner heat guys as to who takes 3rd out of these 3 teams.
Right now, Danny Sheridan’s odds have the 3rd place moneyline at:
For winning the meet:
I’m sure these odds will change once the psyche sheet comes out.
January 22, 2008 at 4:36 pm #43347MontiMember
I agree with your analysis for 3rd. I think that race could be as exciting/more exciting than the race for 1st, which I still give to GAC based largely on they will have more depth in the boner heats plus they have divers this year!
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