MIAA Top Heats

MIAA’s will be interesting this year. I believe that the top heat will be a little faster. However with freshmen classes like olivet, K, and I hear Alma got a few freshmen, the second heat will more than likely become a lot closer. Epecially in the more open events like the brest and IM.

@Samuel L Jackson wrote:

Looking forward to MIAA this year, I’ve been trying to guess what times will make it back for the top heat. Any thoughts? Specifically about the 100 and 200 breast? My guess in the 100 is sub-minute, and for the 2, I’m not sure, maybe 2:15 looking at last year, although that seems slow.

My best guesses:

100 Breast:
2007 – 59.80
2008 – 59.60

This group doesn’t look to improve much, but is probably the most set top 6 of any event, unless Alma/Calvin/Albion brought in someone we don’t know about…

200 Breast
2007 – 2:14.17
2008 – 2:14.80

One slot opens up here and while it would appear to be Kovacs’, a freshman could sneak into this one with a good swim, although i won’t predict it happening.

Here is what 6th and 12th place is for each event after taking out the people who left the league from last yr. It at least gives us an idea of the strengthes and weaknesses of the league. However, obviously people may swim different events and improve as well as freshmen making an impact.

Thoughts???

**Note, I took out Yury, Holtman and Dmitrik but did not take out Ressigue. Also, swimmers who swam exhibition were added in if they made the top 12.

5 free
6th- 4:48.9 (Conrad, Cal.)
12th- 4:55 (Obrien, Hope)exhibition

2 IM
6th- 2:00.33 (Booms, K)
12th- 2:11.84 (Drake, Albion)

50
6th- 21.5 (Powers, Olivet)
12th- 22.13 (VanAllsburg, Cal)

400IM
6th- 4:25.85 (Volle, Cal.)
12th- 4:57.39 (Soresi, Albion)

1 fly
6th- 52.89 (Groth, K)
12th- 55.12 (Koji, Olivet) *was 52 in TT

2 free
6th- 1:45.3 (Vogelzang, Hope)
12th- 1:49.08 (Akers, Hope) exhibition

1 br
6th- 59.8 (King, Hope)
12th- 1:03.44 (Tozer, Hope) exbition

1 bk
6th- 54.57 (Johnson, Alma)
12th- 56.97 (Kurti, Hope)

Mile
6th- 16:58 (Ray, Hope)
12th- 18:55 (Whiting, Albion)

2 bk
6th- 1:58.62 (Engers, Hope)
12th- 2:04.75 (Johnson, Alma)

1 fr
6th- 47.02 (Vogelzang, Hope)
12th- 49.29 (Greiner, K)

2 br
6th- 2:15.19 (Kovacs, K)
12th- 2:27.06 (Bolles, Cal)

2 fly
6th- 2:00.13 (Entwistle, K)
12th- 2:13.55 (Davis, Alma)

This is good research out of someone other than Silentp or Doncheadle! Nice Work Stewie!

Alright since no one has commented, I will. I think it surprising the fly is still so fast. 52 low to mid will make top six and probably 54 low to make it back at all. considering we lost Fetters, Waterstone, Hoesch and Bacon that is still a fast event. Remember Meisner was 52 in 2006 but failed to make it back in 07 so he could be a sleeper.

Once again the mile and 4 IM will be open for some free points. Hope will probably put more ppl into finals of the 4 IM than Kzoo…weird. Still curious to see what Busscher swims or Dekker.

The bottom part of the sprints also look very weak. Holton, Rezz, Bacon, Tuuk is a considerable loss. In addition, the 2 IM and 1 bk fall off. Top six are solid but that’s about it. The league does not look as deep this year so it will be a matter of depth to win the meet.

Sorry Stewie, forgot to comment on the great research.

I agree that I’m impressed with the fly’s depth for the 100, but the 200 really drops off. All events drop off a lot more than expected. Hope won’t add to that with freshmen, Olivet and K will only slightly, and Calvin, with their group of depth guys, mentioned previously, should be able to sneak some points. I would expect the under on almost all of those times, especially top 12, but it does surprise me at what has a shot of scoring.

Well, I was about to make some smart ass comment on here asking when the last time 12th in the 400 IM was slower than 12th in the 500 free. I was even ready to back it up with some solid research from k-swimming.net’s MIAA championship archives.

But then I looked at the 1996 results, saw that there were only ten swimmers in the 400 IM at the meet, and 10th place was 6:25.10. So I stopped my research prematurely. But let the record state – I was going to try.