And the “not counting the deferral” point misses something really big. By deferring his Amherst admission for a year, Heise’s current times are now functionally those of a HS junior. He should easily have ‘A’ cuts in the 1- & 2-back long before he arrives at Amherst.
Or he may never swim. Seems best to “count” him next year. As for having A cuts in the 1 and 2 back, he will need to drop more than 1 second in the 100 and almost 2 in the 200 based on 2011 A cuts. “easily” is a stretch.